Oscar 2020: Best Picture - Nominations and Predictions

in aaa •  8 months ago 

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Like every year, the Oscar date returns. After a long wait and the many promotional campaigns of the various production companies here we can finally take a first look at the winners and losers in the Oscar race. Joker has put one foot in front of everyone by securing 11 nominations ahead of Scorsese's Irishman and Tarantino's Once Upon a Time in Hollywood. Very welcome surprise Parasite, with Jojo Rabbit very well as A marriage Story. They will be the most balanced Oscars of the last 10 years probably with very few favorites in the various categories.
As best film the fight will be fierce. 1917 and Once Upon a Time in Hollywood have won it at the last Golden Globes but it's not certain that one of them will be one of them to get the statuette. The Joker himself seems to have a good chance and Irishman is a title that could be as empty-handed as making a bang. Everyone deserves a win if we look at the overall level of all the nominated films. Beware, however, of Parasite whose prices are rising rapidly. Jojo Rabbit and A marriage Story, united by the face of the female protagonist (Scarlett Johansonn) have little chance but can hope for last minute surprises. No chance of Ford vs Ferrari and Little Women.
Here is my ranking or at least those that I see in percentage favorites to the final victory considering not only the quality of the films in question but also the extra-artistic value that the Academy could recognize them:

1. Parasite 25%
2. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood 25%
3. 1917 20%
4. The Irishman 10%
5. Joker 10%
6. A Marriage Story 5%
7. Jojo Rabbit 5%
8. Ford vs Ferrari 0%
9. Little Women 0%

Come ogni anno ritorna l'appuntamento con gli Oscar. Dopo una lunga attesa e le tante campagne promozionali delle varie case di produzione ecco che finalmente possiamo dare un primo sguardo a vinti e vincitori nella corsa all'Oscar. Joker ha messo un piede davanti a tutti assicurandosi 11 nominations davanti di pochissimo ad Irishman di Scorsese e Once Upon a time in Hollywood di Tarantino. Graditissima sorpresa Parasite, con Jojo Rabbit molto bene cosi come A marriage Story. Saranno gli Oscar più equilibrati degli ultimi 10 anni probabilmente con pochissimi favoriti nelle varie categorie.
Come miglior film la lotta sarà agguerritissima. 1917 ed Once Upon a time in Hollywood l'hanno spuntata agli scorsi Golden Globe ma non è detto che sarà uno di loro 2 ad accaparrarsi la statuetta. Lo stesso Joker sembra avere buone chance ed Irishman è un titolo che potrebbe restare a mani vuote come fare il botto. Tutti meriterebbero la vittoria se guardiamo il livello generale di tutte le pellicole nominate. Attenzione però a Parasite le cui quotazioni stanno rapidamente crescendo. Jojo Rabbit ed A marriage Story, accomunati dal volto della protagonista femminile (Scarlett Johansonn) hanno poche possibilità ma possono sperare in caso di sorprese last minute. Nulle le chance di Ford vs Ferrari e Piccole Donne.
Ecco la mia classifica o almeno quelli che vedo in percentuale favoriti alla vittoria finale considerando non solo la qualità dei film in questione ma anche il valore extra-artistico che l'Academy potrebbe riconoscere loro:

1. Parasite 25%
2. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood 25%
3. 1917 20%
4. The Irishman 10%
5. Joker 10%
6. A Marriage Story 5%
7. Jojo Rabbit 5%
8. Ford vs Ferrari 0%
9. Piccole Donne 0%

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Movie URL: https://www.themoviedb.org/movie/475557-joker?language=it-IT

Rate: AAA

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The competition this year is pretty tough! I need to watch all movies to decide which one is my favorite.

Yes, I agree. A saw 6 of this movies and I tried to make a prediction based on my experience and based about the critics I read online